For a fan, tournament football can be a complex and conflicting beast. If your team has the potential to go a long way, maybe even all the way, the main priority is surely to just keep progressing forwards, no matter how it is done. At the same time, with a World Cup – and all the excitement, tension and anticipation it brings – only arriving every four years, we don’t just want our teams to win but to do so in a way that satisfies us.
In an era where an abundance of stimulating clipped video highlights and intriguing statistical analysis is all at our fingertips, we’ve become harder to please than ever before. The beautiful game has always evoked strong emotions but for right or wrong, how a team achieves its success is now often as significant as the success itself. It’s football with vibes, not simply results.
And that brings us to Louis van Gaal. The 72 year-old is, based on wins, the most successful Netherlands coach ever. He is managing in a third international tournament. In 2014, the last World Cup the Dutch competed in, only penalties denied him taking them to the final. He is currently on an unbeaten 18 match run. And, crucially, his side have just finished top of Group A at this World Cup whilst only conceding once. Considering that Belgium, Denmark, Mexico and now most surprisingly Germany have all failed to get past that first hurdle, this shouldn’t be sniffed at.
So then why is there a building sense of frustration around van Gaal amongst the Oranje fanbase? Why a growing shadow of discontent, rather than a warm glow of positivity ahead of a winnable second-round match against the United States?
In the group stage, negativity about the team performances, tactics and substitutions coalesced to create concerns about the Oranje’s prospects. Fans of the team want to get excited but there is something holding them back. It’s like feeling compelled to carry on a boring conversation at the bar when all you want to do is join your mates on the dancefloor. You know there is something special out there to get you bouncing on your feet. You just don’t know when, or if, you’ll get to experience it.
The win against Senegal was passable by falling into the ‘good side winning when playing badly category’. Yet worries grew following a lucky point against Ecuador, involving a disjointed performance with the only Dutch shot on target being the excellent Cody Gakpo’s early goal. And even though it was mission accomplished getting three points against Qatar, the win was expected and there was much confusion about van Gaal’s stubbornness in his substitutions. Why was Xavi Simons not given a run out? What about Noa Lang? Or Jeremie Frimpong? Pretty much the same supporting cast arrived in the second half when the group had already been won and provided little impact. There was also puzzlement at him not at least testing a more attacking plan B, perhaps with a back four and an extra attacker, against such a weak side. Therefore the overriding feeling at the end was of flatness, not elation.
However, much like with England fans’ trigger-happy criticism of Gareth Southgate, the Oranje fan base should remind themselves that a tournament is a marathon, not a sprint. And that Louis van Gaal, having admitted pre-tournament that he has his eyes set firmly on the ultimate prize, may just know what he is doing. For him, the group stage is a mere irritant that his team has to navigate on its journey deep into the tournament. A way to polish his chess pieces and get them correctly placed to take on the opposition in the knock-out stages. That’s what he is solely focused on, no matter the outside noise and criticism.
There is validity in this approach. The Dutch have hardly been flying but they do have momentum from being undefeated and the confidence that they can still improve. We may not all agree on the system and the personnel but each player clearly understands their role and what is expected of them. This is so important with such little time on the training field between matches and effectively no preparation time for this mid-season tournament. Mixing things up can sometimes leave a dodgy aftertaste.
Furthermore, unlike many teams van Gaal pretty much now knows exactly what his first choice 11 is, using the group matches to fine-tune certain areas. For example, who partners Frenkie de Jong in midfield, the make-up of his back three, and where best to maximize the attacking potential of Gakpo. This knowledge includes who to bring off the bench. One couldn’t help but think, watching the game against Qatar, that van Gaal was giving final auditions for the players he is most likely to turn to if necessary in the next rounds, be it for an extra target man up front (Wout Weghorst), further spark in the final third (Steven Berghuis) or more control in midfield (Teun Koopmeiners and Kenneth Taylor).
Finally, for all the scrutiny van Gaal is receiving, it’s worth highlighting the positive impact his decisions have made thus far. He has enabled Memphis Depay to gradually ease his way back to full sharpness, has gotten de Jong playing in full midfield-domination mode, emboldened a back three that looks very solid, and has clearly made the right decision in choosing Andries Noppert as his number-one. Plus there’s the small matter of how well Gakpo is playing under his stewardship despite his relative lack of international experience.
How many times have we seen teams struggle in the group stage before clicking gloriously into life? In 2014, Germany drew with Ghana and struggled past the USA. And in 2018, France needed an own goal to beat Australia, scraped past Peru, and drew with Denmark. Both went on to win the tournament.
Admittedly, it does seem a real long shot to imagine the Netherlands lifting the trophy on December 18th. Yet that is not really the point. Right now, Louis van Gaal has his team moving in the right direction. They are still standing. And if they do end up reaching that ultimate end goal, will fans really care about how they felt along the way?
Nice write up, James.
I can’t quite help but feel like the system doesn’t benefit the players or it is yet to flourish. The wingbacks hesitate to get forward and dominating the ball for a prolonged period seems impossible. The number of unforced errors are also a huge concern too. Albeit Senegal and Equador are awkward opponents but even against Qatar it was the same story on many more occasions than expected.
Up front, anything Gakpo touches turns to gold but otherwise the lack of clear cut chances has to be another concern.
I hope LvG hasnt created a target on his back for his reluctance to throw Xavi Simons on in the last game. It is clear to see he’s the technically best player during training sessions. If he doesn’t play a minute this world cup it would be criminal.
As you say though, one possibility is that they raise their game against a better opponent. USA will be well drilled but you’d like to think The Netherlands defence has enough to keep them at bay.
Hopefully Memphis can get amongst the goals and Gakpo continues to shine.
Well put, like I was getting at earlier.
Oranje were criticized in 2010 but they were so close to the cup.
It takes the players performing to finally pull off the win of this marathon.
A good tactician does not show all his cards and I still think van Gaal could activate a scenario involving Simons etc… if a ‘major change’ is needed at any point.
One thing about LVG he loves to make a totally unexpected gamble and it often works in his favor.
The lack of available beer, crazy time of year for the world cup, too much interference from work causing stress while being unable to follow matches properly, cold weather (over here anyway) and unlikely underdog wins has been taking its toll mentally this world cup!! We are all on edge.
Aanvallen Oranje!!
Louis van Gaal’s Army!!!!!
Totally disagree, it’s like saying not losing is winning
LVG’s side are hardly dominating possession or opponents
Capable players look scared, wingers told not to take on or dribble, a system that does no player on the pitch any favours
The Dutch have probably the best choice of centre backs in the World for talent and yet look like Kevin Keegan is coaching them
The wing backs are so not working when the you have Malacia and Frimpong who can get forward against lesser opposition getting splinters on the bench
No defensive mid until the 3rd game against the mighty Qatar and then it’s De Roon, the Dutch version of Jack Cork.
Apart from one great assist Klaassen is so lightweight he’s wacky wavey inflatable tube man off Family Guy
And a 60% fit Memphis Depay
The last time LVG managed at the WC they played some excellent football and dominated, this is sub-Southgate stuff.
Noppert looks good thus far mind and a more unshackled Gakpo
For sure I will be happy if we win WC in whatever style. But right now it looks like 2014, even worse. Miracle 2:1 Mexico, 0:0 Costa Rica, 0:0 and lose against Argentina in terrible style just like now. If we play like that and still lose in semi-final again that will be failure. So if we will lose anyway I would prefer to lose but after good game with best players available and not with washed up slow and old players in terrible style. Not to mention we could actually win WC (even in 2014) if we pick good players, but we will never know, Van Gaal (and other Dutch coaches) will always prefer 32-years old Blind (reserve at Ajax) with heart pacemaker because his dad (worst coach ever) is key figure for KNVB over for example Pascal Struijk who plays regularly at best in the world Premier League. Not to mention Sven Botman, world class defender right now.
So better don’t lose with this players and tactics we have right now. Van Gaal said his goal is to win WC and I hope he will. But it’s very unlikely to win WC with players who are medicore at best in Eredivisie.
Oh and I don’t mind playing defensively. I think we should have as many defenders as possible as we have even too much talent on defence (not Blind). Best case scenario for me is:
Ake, Van Dijk, De Vrij, De Ligt, Dumfries and Timber at DM. But to play like this you have to play with fast creative players like in the middle. Klaassen will never play good ball forward.
I think Joe swaffeled the nail on the head with this one (sorry, not sorry!), excellent write-up. I can only bring back flashbacks of Nigel De Jong and Van Persie being subbed off from muscular injury and fatigue respectively against Argentina in the 2014 semis, which undoubtedly ended up being costly. Not only that, but Sneijder also was injured in the warm-up against Brazil in the 3rd place match. Don’t you remember how insistent LvG was about pressing the ball back then? I’ve seen very little pressing in this tournament from Oranje.
The team talk in the squad’s camp has been about “keeping everyone fit” over and over and over. So yes, perhaps everything is going relatively according to plan with the team having looked to get results while playing in “energy saver” mode. Fingers crossed our lions are unleashed hungry on the pitch when it matters most… which is now.
Sure the argument of results over entertainment wins every time.
But the dialogue that should always remain in Dutch football revolves around playing with spirit as the means to winning.
Playing football, expressing, is the best way to play at a high level. If you can create space for players to express, and express together, then your likely going to win.
I’d argue that Van Gaal hasn’t built a side to make sure it doesn’t lose while expressing through football the spirit to win, he’s gone further,its not about the spirit of winning, its how far you can go by not losing, which takes us back into the dive of Dutch conservatism and the antithesis of the Dutch legacy.